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Anti-Fragility

Notes

Claim

At the basic level, anti-fragility is a form of robustness, of the ability to withstand and resist external shocks, errors and randomness.

Explanation

Anti-Fragility systems response well to Randomness. Usually randomness can cause damage to a system, since most are built on Optimization finds the efficient point balancing outputs and inputs that are counter productive to stability. However, smart system can expect that the worst will happen, so we need to be ready for it Pre-mortem anticipates failure modes to enable preparation.

Ignoring or even worse trying to reduce randomness can make us ignore important information for our stability and growth, similar to how disabling the price system has toppled communist economies, or just imagine how evolution would look like without biological mutations. Our beliefs must adapt as context and goals change is key, it allows us to adjust to the world around us, to be at flow with it, to accept it's signals, to improve the way we operate within it, instead of trying to live in wishful thinking. We can't predict the future, nor are we capable of rational our way into building perfectly stable systems. For our benefit in the long run, lessons have to be learned, and it has to be the hard way.

Through hardships we learn and grow, and hardships usually comes in the form of unexpected challenges, or at least at a price, for example vaccinations and workouts both improve the body by making it suffer measured challenges We grow stronger by adapting to stress.

Why it matters

Keynotes:

  1. the bigger you are, usually you're more fragile
  2. anti-fragility is not only the key to stability, but also to sustained growth
  3. anti-fragility of the whole is usually built on the fragility of the parts Progress emerges through cycles of destruction and reconstruction

Examples

Supporters

Opposers

Open questions

Visual

Some systems grow stronger through disorder

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